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Royals vs. Pirates Prediction, Odds, Picks – July 9
Updated Jul. 9, 2025 at 7:00 p.m. ET
Bailey Falter will take the mound for the Pittsburgh Pirates on Wednesday at Kauffman Stadium, where they will face Vinnie Pasquantino and the Kansas City Royals. The game is set to start at 7:40 p.m. ET. The Royals are favored with moneyline odds of -190 against the underdog Pirates, who are listed at +158. Kansas City (-1.5) is the favorite on the run line, with a total set at 8.5 runs for the game.
Discover everything you need to know from a betting perspective about the Royals-Pirates game, including the run line, moneyline, total, and expert picks. Keep up with MLB on FOX Sports.
Royals vs. Pirates Game Information & Odds
When: Wednesday, July 9, 2025 at 7:40 p.m. ET
Where: Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri
How to watch on TV: FDSKC and SportsNet PT
Betting Odds
| Favorite | Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Run Line Favorite | Run Line Odds | Underdog Run Line Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Royals | -190 | +158 | 8.5 | -120 | -101 | -1.5 | +107 | -128 |
Royals vs. Pirates Prediction
Score Prediction: Royals 4, Pirates 3
Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Royals 54%, Pirates 46%
Royals vs. Pirates Betting Insights
This season, the Royals have been favored 34 times, winning 17, or 50%, of those games. Kansas City is undefeated in seven contests this season when favored by -190 or more on the moneyline. The implied probability of a Royals win based on the moneyline is 65.5%.
The Pirates have won 25 of their 65 games as underdogs this year, giving them a 38.5% winning rate. Pittsburgh has a record of 5-11 in games where sportsbooks have favored them at +158 or worse on the moneyline, with an implied victory probability of 38.8%.
Royals Recent Betting Performance
The Royals have been favored by oddsmakers only twice in their last 10 games and won both matches. In those 10 contests, the Royals and their opponents hit the over four times (all had set totals). Kansas City’s ATS record over the past 10 games stands at 6-4-0.
Royals Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.1 |
| Home Runs | 11 |
| ERA | 3.62 |
| K/9 | 7.7 |
Royals Player Insights
Bobby Witt Jr. has recorded 30 doubles, three triples, 13 home runs, and 28 walks while boasting a batting average of .295. He ranks 59th in home runs and 34th in RBIs among all batters. Witt has achieved a hit in 12 consecutive games and is batting .375 over his last 10 outings, with two doubles, two home runs, and 10 RBIs.
Maikel Garcia is batting .305, leading the team with 144th in home runs and 87th in RBIs. He has a five-game hitting streak, batting .316 with a double, two walks, and one RBI in his last five games.
Vinnie Pasquantino leads the Royals with 15 home runs and 56 RBIs, hitting .333 over his last five games with three home runs, two doubles, and seven RBIs.
Salvador Perez has 24 doubles, 11 home runs, and 16 walks, hitting .239. He has a hit in his last three games, batting .222 with two home runs and four RBIs in his last five outings.
Royals Team Props
| Player | Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Loftin | 0.5 (-205) | 1.5 (+150) | – | 0.5 (+200) |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 (-240) | 1.5 (+130) | – | 0.5 (+210) |
| Jac Caglianone | 0.5 (-230) | 1.5 (+130) | – | 0.5 (+185) |
| Freddy Fermin | 0.5 (-215) | 1.5 (+155) | – | 0.5 (+185) |
| Vinnie Pasquantino | 1.5 (+190) | 1.5 (+105) | – | 0.5 (+150) |
Pirates Recent Betting Performance
The Pirates have played as underdogs in nine of their last 10 games, achieving a 4-5 record in those contests. In their last 10 games with set totals, the Pirates and their opponents failed to hit the over six times. The Pirates hold a 6-4-0 ATS record over the same span jiligames login.
Pirates Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4 |
| Home Runs | 8 |
| ERA | 2.33 |
| K/9 | 8.5 |
Pirates Player Insights
Oneil Cruz is leading the Pirates with 16 home runs, ranking 34th in the majors, while Bryan Reynolds has the most RBIs on the team with 46, placing him 110th in home runs. Andrew McCutchen leads the team with a batting average of .258, while Isiah Kiner-Falefa is batting .271, contributing 10 doubles and 14 walks.
Pirates Team Props
| Player | Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tommy Pham | 0.5 (-245) | 1.5 (+135) | – | 0.5 (+240) |
| Ke’Bryan Hayes | 0.5 (-220) | 1.5 (+150) | – | 0.5 (+225) |
| Bryan Reynolds | 0.5 (-225) | 1.5 (+145) | – | 0.5 (+165) |
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 (-220) | 1.5 (+145) | – | 0 55bmw casino login ph.5 (+215) |
| Nick Gonzales | 1.5 (+185) | 1.5 (+110) | – | 0. 888 bet login5 (+170) |
Pirates vs. Royals Highlights
Catch the best moments between the Pittsburgh Pirates and Kansas City Royals.
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What are your predictions for the upcoming Royals vs tongits go redeem. Pirates matchup?
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